As a wet pattern continues to hold, dumping copious rain into already saturated ground, Paducah and surrounding areas can expect to see moderate flooding, according to weather officials.
Sunday night and Monday brought another inch and a quarter of rain, bringing the total so far for this month up to 4.35 inches, nearly three inches above normal, and more than half an inch higher than this point last year.
"Since we're very soggy, with waterlogged soil … the runoff and the flooding, especially in the low lying, poorly drained areas could get more severe," said National Weather Service meteorologist Derrick Snyder.
In the near term, a system on Wednesday is expected to dump another inch, give or take a little, on Paducah, with higher amounts farther east and in the Tennessee River Valley.
Snyder said water from the Tennessee River is expected to back up into Kentucky Lake, then into the Ohio River, which is expected to crest near 45 feet a week from today.
While that flooding is defined as "moderate," Snyder said a more significant concern could be drainage ditches and smaller rivers that could overflow roads and cause dangerous driving conditions.
Residents should pay attention to road conditions, he said, "especially people who live in flood prone areas."
Snyder said flooding is difficult to predict before rain falls, and that the impact could be more or less severe than expected. But he said the continued rainy pattern has the potential to cause more significant problems than the area has experienced so far this year.
"The pattern looks like it's not going to be shifting to a drier one any time soon."
Last year was the third-wettest in city history, according to NWS numbers, and meteorologists said 2018 and 2019 accounted for the wettest two-year stretch in city history.