LOUISVILLE -- With one week until the Kentucky primary election, a new poll gives Gov. Matt Bevin a comfortable lead over his chief Republican gubernatorial challenger, state Rep. Robert Goforth.
But the survey of 600 likely GOP voters shows that the incumbent governor is barely over 50% after years of quarreling with his own party.
Other statewide GOP races in Kentucky appear wide open, according to a poll released Tuesday by Cygnal, a national polling and research firm.
The Cygnal survey, conducted May 10 to May 12, has Bevin leading Goforth 56% to 18%, with 23% of voters still undecided.
"Gov. Bevin is reaping the benefits of high name ID, which appears to be too much for Goforth to overcome this close to election day," Brent Buchanan, Cygnal's president and founder, said in a news release.
Bevin is seeking a second term with a new running mate, state Sen. Ralph Alvarado, of Winchester.
Goforth, a farmer and pharmacist from East Bernstadt, was first elected to the General Assembly in a special election last year and is running with Lawrence County Attorney Mike Hogan.
"This won't be a question of if Bevin will win on Tuesday; it's a question of how high he can go above 50%," said Chris Kratzer, Cygnal's vice president of Research and Analysis.
Still, while his primary prospects are looking fairly bright, the poll showed about 32 percent of GOP voters have an "unfavorable" opinion and 21 percent hold a "very unfavorable" opinion of Bevin.
Lexington real estate developer Ike Lawrence (1.6%) finished in third for GOP gubernatorial candidates, just ahead of realtor and Boone County bus driver and licensed realtor William Woods (1.3%).
Kentucky's GOP primaries for attorney general, secretary of state and agricultural commissioner are much more competitive, according to the Cygnal poll, with more than 55% of voters unsure of who they will vote for May 21.
Attorney Daniel Cameron, who formerly served as Senate Majority Leader Mitch McConnell's legal counsel, holds a 25.5% to 19% lead over Wil Schroder, a Northern Kentucky state senator, according to the Cygnal poll.
In the secretary of state race, Michael G. Adams, general counsel for the Republican Governors Association, has a slight advantage in the Cygnal survey over his closest competitor, Andrew English, who recently served as general counsel of Kentucky's Justice and Public Safety Cabinet.
The Cygnal poll showed 10.8% of respondents prefer Adams, while 9.7% of likely GOP voters prefer English.
GOP candidates Stephen Knipper (6.6%) and Carl Nett (4.6%) followed up Adams and English in the survey results for the secretary of state race.
Agriculture Commissioner Ryan Quarles was leading his challenger Bill Polyniak by 28 points, but 57.5% of voters are still undecided in the agricultural commissioner race, according to the Cygnal poll.
The Cygnal survey has a margin of error of 4%.