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Who will take home Grammy gold this year?

By CHRIS TALBOTT and MESFIN FEKADU Associated Press

Kendrick Lamar vs. Macklemore & Ryan Lewis.

Lorde vs. Katy Perry.

"Get Lucky" vs. "Blurred Lines" a.k.a. Pharrell vs. Pharrell.

There are so many tough choices this year at the Grammy Awards, where Jay Z is the top nominee with nine, but may not the favorite to take the most trophies when the show airs live at 7 p.m. CST Sunday from The Staples Center in Los Angeles. Lamar, Macklemore and Lewis, Justin Timberlake and Pharrell Williams are next with seven, but none is guaranteed a trophy in what must have been a tough year for voters - and has been for us as The Associated Press tries to sort out the mess.

Here are a few tips for this year's office pool:

Album of the Year

4 "The Blessed Unrest," Sara Bareilles

"Random Access Memories," Daft Punk

4 "good kid, m.A.A.d city," Kendrick Lamar

4 "The Heist," Macklemore & Ryan Lewis

4 "Red," Taylor Swift.

n Fekadu: While Taylor Swift had earth-shattering numbers, Sara Bareilles created a top-notch, memorable album, and Macklemore & Ryan Lewis owned 2013, they won't win here. That leaves Daft Punk and Kendrick Lamar - who is like a second coming to hip-hop. If "Random Access Memories" was a little stronger, it would win, but I think the Recording Academy will get it right with a win for Lamar.

n Talbott: Don't be daft, punk! Looking back over the history of the Grammys, the usual winner in this category is that year's "event" album. With all due deference to Taylor Swift's popularity, the album that felt like an event in this group is Daft Punk's "Random Access Memories." It didn't yield as many hits as "Red" - one of three albums on this list that came out way back in 2012, a limiting factor for all. But few albums had as much ink spilled over them this year. Score one for the robots.

Record of the year

4 "Get Lucky," Daft Punk featuring Pharrell Williams and Nile Rodgers

4 "Radioactive," Imagine Dragons

4 "Royals," Lorde

4 "Locked Out of Heaven," Bruno Mars

4 "Blurred Lines," Robin Thicke featuring T.I. and Pharrell.

n Talbott: Oh, Lorde, this one's easy. "Get Lucky" and "Blurred Lines" had their runs, but Lorde finished the year in the strongest position as Grammy voters were filling out their final ballots.

n Fekadu: I think Lorde may be too new to win this - shoot, she was too new for a best new artist nomination. That's the same deal for Imagine Dragons. Mars' hit, while epic, might seem too old, which leaves us with two Pharrell-laced bangers. "Get Lucky" wins this because it features a legend, a super-respected musical duo and it wasn't sued by Marvin Gaye's children.

Song of the Year (songwriters)

4 "Just Give Me a Reason," Pink, Nate Ruess and Jeff Bhasker

4 "Locked Out of Heaven," Bruno Mars, Philip Lawrence and Ari Levine

4 "Roar," Katy Perry, Lukasz Gottwald, Max Martin, Bonnie McKee and Henry Walter

4 "Royals," Lorde and Joel Little

4 "Same Love," Macklemore, Ryan Lewis and Mary Lambert.

n Fekadu: I think the real competition is between "Just Give Me a Reason" and "Same Love." Pink's duet with Nate Ruess, who won this award for "We Are Young" with fun. last year, is a rousing number and a win like this for Pink is deserving after she's impressed us year after year. "Same Love," though, was a social anthem and more than a year after it was released, it still provides the chills when Macklemore begins his verse. Who am I kidding? "Same Love" wins this.

n Talbott: History tells us sometimes the hits win. Sometimes the winner has become an anthem in some way. And sometimes it's a right-field entry you may not have expected. I think this is where The Recording Academy shows its love for progressive, open-hearted messages and rewards Macklemore & Ryan Lewis for a song that was a lot of all three.

New artist

4 James Blake

4 Kendrick Lamar

4 Macklemore & Ryan Lewis

4 Kacey Musgraves

4 Ed Sheeran.

n Talbott: While I personally feel Kendrick Lamar has the best long-term prospects among these entries, I think voters are focused on Macklemore and Lewis and their dazzling year and will give the nod to the Seattle rap duo.

n Fekadu: If Ed Sheeran released a sophomore album this year as gratifying as his 2011 debut, this would be his trophy. But you're right about Macklemore and Lewis winning this.

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